Tuesday, January 6, 2015

London's AIM - IPO Activity - 2014

The bull market for AIM IPOs continued in 2014 with 82 IPOs raising £2.8 billion ($4.4 billion).  In fact, more capital was raised on AIM for IPOs during 2014 than in 2011, 2012 and 2013 combined.

The average and median AIM IPO during 2014 raised the equivalent of $53 million and $19 million, respectively, with 72% of the IPOs raising between $5 million and $155 million.  27 of the 82 IPOs included meaningful liquidity events for selling shareholders.

47 of the 82 companies generated significant revenues and the median trailing pre-money revenue multiple was 1.82.  28 of the 82 companies earned significant profits and the median trailing pre-money P/E ratio and EBITDA multiple was 17.77 and 10.24, respectively.

Consumer services' businesses accounted for 26% of the AIM IPOs during 2014, although, it is interesting to note the significant technology component; more than half had as their main strategy the engagement of consumers online and/or via mobile.  Financial companies accounted for 15%, healthcare and industrials each accounted for 12%, pure technology companies accounted for 10%, consumer goods for 8% and there were even four telecommunications IPOs on AIM during 2014, accounting for 5% of the total.

This post provides insight into each of the 82 companies; the industries and geographies in which they operate and their overall listing, financial and operating metrics.


Highlights 
  • 82 companies completed IPOs on AIM during 2014, a 32% increase over 2013
    • 27 included meaningful equity and/or debt liquidity events for selling shareholders
  • £2.8 billion ($4.4 billion) raised for IPOs during 2014, an 175% increase over 2013
    • More IPO capital raised during 2014 than in 2011, 2012 and 2013 combined
  • Average IPO raised £34.4 million ($53.3 million), median £12.0 million ($18.6 million)
    • At a cost of 6.5% and 11.4%, respectively, of gross funds raised
  • 72% of IPOs raised between £3 million and £100 million ($5 million and $155 million)
  • Average opening MC of £88 million ($136 million), median £48 million ($74 million)
  • 79% of MCs between £10 million and £250 million ($16 million and $388 million)
  • IPO dilution of existing shareholders amounted to 27%
  • Average post-IPO free float of 44%
  • Average and median share price return of 9% and 5% since IPO (median date 6/30/14)
    • FTSE AIM All-Share Index fell 17% during 2014 and 11% from 6/30 - 12/31/14
  • 47 of the 82 companies generated revenues > £2 million (range £2 million - £322 million)
    • Median trailing pre-money revenue multiple of 1.82
    • Those w/o significant revenues broadly in oil and gas, tech or basic materials
  • 28 of the 82 companies earned profits > £1 million (range £1 million - £19 million)
    • Median trailing pre-money P/E ratio and EBITDA multiple of 17.77 and 10.24
  • Industry and geographic dispersion and financial profile of the 82 companies - pages 5 - 8
  • Detailed descriptions and insights into the 82 companies - pages 8 - 13




Number of IPOs
Gross Funds Raised
(in £ millions)
Average Funds Raised
(in £ millions)
2011
  45
   560
12
2012
  45
   695
15
2013
  62
1,025
17
2014
  82
2,818
34
Total
234
5,098
22

The table above shows that all indicators were up for the second year in a row and, in fact, more capital was raised on AIM for IPOs during 2014 than in 2011, 2012 and 2013 combined.

From a sectoral perspective, consumer services’ businesses accounted for 26% of AIM IPOs during 2014, although, it is interesting to note the significant technology component; more than half had as their main strategy the engagement of consumers online and/or via mobile.  Financial companies accounted for 15%, healthcare and industrials each accounted for 12%, technology for 10%, consumer goods for 8% and there were even four telecommunications IPOs on AIM during 2014, accounting for 5% of the total.  The oil and gas and basic materials sectors remained in the doldrums, accounting for an aggregate of 11% of AIM IPOs during 2014 whereas they accounted for 21% and 33% of the IPOs in 2013 and 2012, respectively.

The chart below provides the distribution of gross funds raised from AIM IPOs during 2014.  While private equity and other long-term shareholders engineered some unusually large transactions in the context of AIM, the sweet spot for AIM IPOs remains between £3 million and £100 million ($5 million and $155 million).


Of the aggregate gross funds raised, 74% was for the companies and 26% was for selling shareholders, which were present in 27 of the IPOs, with 23 selling a meaningful equity stake and/or receiving repayment of shareholder debt and an additional four solely receiving repayment of shareholder debt.  While the average amount of gross capital raised was £34.4 million ($53.3 million), the median was only £12.0 million ($18.6 million).

The equation in the chart at the top of the next page can be used to predict the cost of an AIM IPO with 89% confidence.  The 63 data points represent the gross funds raised and associated costs for the non-Investing Company IPOs that raised at least £3 million ($5 million).  Since these 63 companies raised an average of £42.5 million ($65.9 million), the expected cost would be £2.6 million ($4.0 million) or 6.1% of the gross funds raised.


The average and median offering costs for all 82 AIM IPOs amounted to 15% and 11%, respectively, of the gross funds raised, however, the average, in particular, is skewed by a number of relatively small IPOs where the fixed costs dominate.

The chart below provides the distribution of opening market capitalizations.  The average company’s opening market capitalization was £88 million ($136 million) whereas the median was £48 million ($74 million).  The sweet spot for market capitalizations on AIM is between £10 million and £250 million ($16 million and $388 million).


The aggregate opening market capitalization of the 82 companies that completed IPOs on AIM during 2014 was £7.2 billion ($11.2 billion).  The average and median post-IPO free float of these companies was 44% and 41%, respectively.

The first chart on the next page tells a number of stories with respect to the IPO dilution of existing shareholders.  Toward the end of the last bull market for AIM IPOs in 2007, the quality of the companies decreased, which led to an increase in dilution.  In response, the LondonStock Exchange codified the AIM Rules for Nominated Advisers, which increased the scrutiny of prospective new entrants by Nomads.  This led to higher quality companies completing IPOs and a decrease in dilution (2009 is an anomaly given the lack of IPOs), which was exacerbated by the global financial crisis and investor aversion to risk.  The second half of 2013 represented the start of a new bull market for AIM IPOs, however, now the quality of the companies is outstanding and the increase in dilution is a result of company and investor demand for larger capital raises.


The final chart in this section provides the distribution of share price returns since each of the 82 companies completed their IPOs through December 31, 2014.  It should be noted that the median IPO date just happens to be June 30, 2014, therefore, the average and median returns of +9% and +5%, respectively, only represent, on average, half a year.  As a point-of-reference, the FTSE AIM All-Share Index fell 17% during 2014 and 11% from June 30, 2014 through December 31, 2014; therefore, the relative performance of the 82 IPOs has been quite strong.


Industry and Geographic Dispersion and Revenue and Profitability Profile

 

 
Revenue and
Profitability*
U.K. (52)
China (7)
Australasia (4)
Israel (4)
U.S. (3)
Other (12)
Totals (82)
Consumer
Services (21)
7 SR & SP
3 SR
2 Neither

2 Neither
1 SR & SP
2 SR & SP
1 SR

1 SR & SP
1 SR
1 Neither
11 SR & SP
  5 SR
  5 Neither
Financials (12)
4 SR & SP
1 SR
5 Neither





2 SR
  4 SR & SP
  3 SR
  5 Neither
Healthcare (10)
2 SR & SP
2 SR
4 Neither


1 Neither

1 SR

  2 SR & SP
  3 SR
  5 Neither
Industrials (10)
2 SR & SP
3 SR
1 Neither


1 SR

1 Neither
1 SR
1 Neither
  2 SR &SP
  5 SR
  3 Neither

Technology (8)
1 SR & SP
4 Neither

1 Neither


1 SR
1 SR & SP
  2 SR & SP
  1 SR
  5 Neither

Consumer
Goods (7)
2 SR & SP
1 Neither

1 SR & SP

1 SR

1 SR
1 Neither
  3 SR & SP
  2 SR
  2 Neither

Basic
Materials (5)

1 Neither

2 SR & SP
1 Neither



1 Neither
  2 SR & SP
  3 Neither
Oil & Gas /
Cleantech (4)

2 Neither


1 Neither


1 Neither
  4 Neither

Telecoms (4)
2 SR & SP
2 Neither






  2 SR & SP
  2 Neither
Utilities (1)
1 Neither






  1 Neither

Totals (82)
20 SR & SP
  9 SR
23 Neither
3 SR & SP

4 Neither
1 SR & SP
1 SR
2 Neither
2 SR & SP
2 SR

2 SR
1 Neither
2 SR & SP
5 SR
5 Neither
28 SR & SP
19 SR
35 Neither

* Significant Revenues (SR) and Significant Profitability (SP) are defined as > £2 million and > £1 million, respectively.

AIM-listed companies are organized into 90 sub sectors, which feed into 40 sectors, which feed into 10 super sectors.  The first pie chart on the previous page illustrates the relative number of AIM IPOs in each super sector during 2014.  Since the classifications can be deceptive, the table at the end of this newsletter on pages 8 - 13 provides some detailed descriptions and insights into the individual companies.

The second pie chart on the previous page shows the main country of operation for the companies that completed IPOs on AIM during 2014.  Consumer services’ businesses accounted for 26% of the IPOs, although, it is interesting to note the significant technology component; more than half had as their main strategy the engagement of consumers online and/or via mobile.  Financial companies accounted for 15%, healthcare and industrials each accounted for 12%, technology for 10%, consumer goods for 8% and there were even four telecommunications IPOs on AIM during 2014, accounting for 5% of the total.  The oil and gas and basic materials sectors remained in the doldrums, accounting for an aggregate of 11% of AIM IPOs during 2014 whereas they accounted for 21% and 33% of the IPOs in 2013 and 2012, respectively.

Unsurprisingly, the U.K. is the main place of operation for more AIM-listed companies than any other country.  Approximately 59% of the 1,100 companies listed on AIM are based in the U.K.  Given the fact that the global financial crisis affected the U.K. more deeply and for longer than many other countries, the trend away from U.K. company IPOs on AIM has reversed in response to satisfying pent-up U.K. demand.  While only 31% of AIM IPOs were for U.K. companies in 2012, this figure grew to 53% in 2013 and 63% during 2014.

Of the 82 AIM IPOs during 2014, 47 (57%) generated significant revenues (i.e. > £2 million or $3 million) during their most recent financial year with the range being £2 million - £322 million ($3 million - $499 million).  The average trailing pre-money revenue multiple was 2.89 and the median was 1.82.  Of the 47 companies that generated significant revenues, 28 (60%) earned significant profits (i.e. > £1 million or $2 million), with the range being £1 million - £19 million ($2 million - $29 million).  The average trailing pre-money P/E ratio and EBITDA multiple for the 28 companies that earned significant profits was 26.14 and 16.61, respectively, and the medians were 17.77 and 10.24.

Of the 52 U.K. companies that completed AIM IPOs during 2014, 29 (56%) generated significant revenues during their most recent financial year.  Of these 29 companies, 20 (69%) earned significant profits.  The comparative metrics for 2013 were 67% and 36%, respectively, indicating that, on the one hand, investors during 2014 were willing to back more early-stage U.K. companies but, on the other, were demanding that more of those that generated significant revenues had also earned significant profits.  Of the 30 companies from outside the U.K. that completed AIM IPOs during 2014, 18 (60%) generated significant revenues.  Of these 18 companies, eight (44%) earned significant profits.  The comparative metrics for 2013 were 48% and 57%, respectively, indicating that investors wanted to see more commercial traction but are willing to wait a little longer for significant profits.

Only one of the 82 companies that completed its AIM IPO during 2014 did so via the ‘fast track route to AIM’, where their securities were traded on an AIM Designated Market (ADM) for at least the previous 18 months.  In this case, the UKLA Official List (i.e. the London Stock Exchange’s Main Market) was the ADM.  Two additional companies migrated from the Main Market to AIM during 2014, however, neither were able to utilize the fast track route since fundamental changes in their businesses triggered the requirement to produce an AIM Admission Document.  During 2013, two of the 62 AIM IPOs utilized the fast track route, both with the UKLA Official List as the ADM, and during 2012, two of the 45 AIM IPOs utilized the fast track route, both with the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as the ADM.  Companies utilizing the fast track route do not have to produce the typical AIM Admission Document but rather a brief, but detailed, pre-admission announcement.  The 10 ADMs are the top tier markets of the ASX, Deutsche Börse Group, Johannesburg Stock Exchange, NASDAQ, NYSE, NYSE Euronext, NASDAQ OMX Stockholm, Swiss Exchange, TMX Group and UKLA Official List.
The migration of companies to AIM from the ICAP Securities & Derivatives Exchange (ISDX, formerly the PLUS Stock Exchange and formerly OFEX) in the U.K. continues with four of the 82 companies that completed IPOs on AIM during 2014 having been previously listed on ISDX.  During 2013 and 2012, six of the 62 companies and two of the 45 companies, respectively, that completed IPOs on AIM were previously listed on ISDX.

A couple final points to note during 2014 are that one company simultaneously completed its IPO on AIM and the Enterprise Securities Market of the Irish Stock Exchange (ESM), one dual listed on AIM from the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited Mainboard (SGX-ST), one dual listed on AIM from the TSX Venture Exchange (Toronto) and one was listed on the entry level of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange but delisted five months before its AIM IPO.

Consumer
Services
(21)
One intends to become the leading fashion ecommerce website in India, one is the U.K.’s largest pure-play online own brand fashion retailer, one is the largest hotel operator in Ireland, one is a global digital publisher and marketing company that attracts paying users from different online channels and directs them to online gambling operators, one is a dealer in rare and antiquarian books and other works on paper to public institutions and collectors around the world, one is the owner and operator of ‘boutique hostels’ which provide a level of accommodation between traditional hostels and budget hotels, one is a U.K. branded café and casual dining group offering cakes, pastries, snacks, meals and hot and cold drinks, one is a U.K. specialist value footwear retailer, one is a provider of proprietary technology solutions for optimizing online advertising revenue for publishers (i.e. website owners) globally, one is a U.K. consumer marketing business focused on the U.K. personal injury market, one is an online retailer with established flash sales sites in Australia, New Zealand and Southeast Asia that provide a complete B2B solution for brands to dispose of excess inventory, one is a provider of specialized mobile marketing services to mobile network operators in emerging markets, principally the Middle East, one is an international owner, developer, operator and franchisor of ‘super budget’ branded hotels, one develops, promotes and distributes lottery products online, via mobile and through physical retail outlets in China, one provides residential mortgage brokers with an online platform to compare the conveyancing and related legal services of solicitors, one has developed an online and mobile platform that powers ad networks, agencies and publishers, enabling the delivery of relevant digital advertising through the analysis of Big Data, one operates a chain of Greek restaurants in the U.K., one provides home improvements and energy efficient products and services to homeowners in the U.K., one white labels its mobile gaming platform for implementation with large commercial organizations that have established online audiences in the regulated, real money gaming (RMG) and freemium gaming spaces, one holds licenses to operate online poker games and tournaments and create national lottery products/games in China and one hosts eSports tournaments attended by leading international players and teams and a website for gaming news, content and interaction on which eSports enthusiasts can compete against or view competitors playing a range of popular electronic games
(12)
One is an established German commercial real estate company, one is an investing company that intends to create a portfolio of companies whose growth and success is linked to the world's changing demographics with investments focused on health and wellness (aging population), resources (energy, food, water and housing), the rise of the middle class (particularly in Asia) and ecommerce, one is a specialist long-term income U.K. REIT with a portfolio that includes some of the U.K.’s top visitor attractions and theme parks and 21 private hospitals, one is an independent financial advisory and discretionary wealth management firm, one acquires interests in luxury goods business focused on the manufacture and distribution of footwear and clothing in France, Morocco and the U.K., one has developed a cloud-based peer-to-peer payments platform that enables personal and business customers to make multi-currency payments in a broad range of currencies and across a range of FX products, one intends to acquire controlling stakes in quoted and unquoted businesses focused on the U.K. and European automotive, support services, leasing, engineering or manufacturing sectors, one provides independent advice on mortgages and  protection and general insurance products, one is an investing company with a private equity style value investment philosophy focused on relatively differentiated, specialist or illiquid assets of small and medium sized companies and they intend to develop an asset management business either organically or through one or more acquisitions, one creates, funds and develops businesses in the Midlands and the North of the U.K. that combine technology and services, are rich in intellectual property, scalable, require relatively modest capital infusions and are focused on advanced materials, engineering and specialized manufacturing, electronics and hardware, digital and life sciences, one intends to combine the iconic real estate assets of the major markets located in Camden Town in Central London with a planned e-commerce platform to create a virtuous circle of synergies and benefits through the development of an online retail leisure and lifestyle presence that is expected to deliver greater revenues for the online business and for the physical markets and one is a buy-to-let U.K. REIT specializing in residential property with a long term vision of becoming a consolidator in the growing private rented sector
Healthcare
(10)
One is a newly formed pharmaceutical company which intends to develop pharmaceutical assets by utilizing management’s understanding of, and access to solutions for, the technical, regulatory, clinical and financial challenges that are required to bring novel therapeutics to market, one supplies research tools, built around their proprietary translational genomics platform, which consists of a high-precision and flexible suite of gene editing tools, to organizations engaged in genomics research and the development of personalized medicines for modeling the disease-causing mutations found in genetically-based diseases, allowing customers to identify the effect of individual or compound genetic mutations on drug activity, patient responsiveness, and resistance, which may lead to the successful prediction of which patient sub-groups will respond to currently-available and future drug treatments, one is a developer and manufacturer of hands-free robotic exoskeletons made of mechanical legs linked by a strong hip girdle for use by people with mobility impairments, allowing them to stand and walk autonomously without the need for crutches or supports, one provides services and technologies to biopharmaceutical companies that enable the development of, for example, therapeutic antibodies and proteins, with better efficacy, fewer side effects, more predictable quality and/or improved patient compliance, one manages clinical development and trials for pharma and biotech companies and provides drug development services with particular expertise in oncology, neurology, immunology and the development of orphan drugs, one provides ultrasound education and training to medical professionals with simulator hardware systems and a library of software modules to teach and assess specific ultrasound-scanning skills in a virtual reality environment, allowing the trainee to literally feel what they see on the computer screen so as to develop the complex mix of necessary cognitive skills and hand-eye coordination, one is a drug development company with unique technology that generates accurate, experimentally-derived dynamic solution 3D structures of drug molecules for drug discovery and drug candidate optimization used in collaboration with the pharmaceutical industry and to build its own proprietary pipeline of high-value therapeutic candidates, one is a nanomedicine company developing and commercializing multiple therapeutic products via two platform technologies; one enabling targeted delivery ('right place') and the other sustained release ('right time') of drugs via gold nanoparticles and polymer microspheres, respectively, one is a  healthcare services organization that provides outsourced revenue cycle management, practice management and group purchasing services to hospital-based physicians and physician groups and one is a manufacturer, supplier and service provider of non-standard pharmaceutical products to pharmaceutical wholesalers, retail pharmacies, hospitals, pharmaceutical companies and the homecare and care home markets
Industrials
(10)
One is a vertically-integrated innovator in pallet development, manufacture, supply and management, one is an independent mail, parcels and logistics end-to-end network operator in the U.K. and Ireland, one is a spin-out from the University of Leeds that developed a patented reusable and recyclable polymer bead cleaning systems for intended use in the laundry, leather processing, garment finishing and metal cleaning industries, one is an international provider of payment services, risk management and IT solutions for businesses that wish to accept or make online payments, one is a vertically-integrated international energy consulting, engineering and power generation (wind, solar and diesel) firm, one is a home safety products’ supplier of smoke and carbon monoxide alarms and related accessories, one is a specialist supplier of technical fluid power products (hydraulic and industrial hosing and valves and pumps), one is a vertically integrated manufacturer of extrusions, moldings and fabricated low maintenance building products for the repair, maintenance and improvement, new build property and social housing sectors, one is an aerospace services company that provides training solutions, management systems and consultancy services to the international aviation market, particularly in relation to unmanned aerial systems and one provides contractors from a database of over 23,000 global professionals for the provision of project, quality, environmental and health and safety management services in Australia, Oceania and Southeast Asia for the construction, engineering, petrochemical and coal seam gas sectors
(8)
One has developed a proprietary search engine that uses a client’s search parameters to identify relevant cutting-edge technology and intellectual property developed by leading universities and research institutions for possible acquisition where the company can also provide the client with access to their science advisory board and/or broker the acquisition, one provides a digital transaction platform to the retail and hospitality industries for the secure multi-channel issuance, management and redemption of promotional offers, gift vouchers and loyalty-based rewards, one is a cloud-based Big Data analytics platform that combines four key technologies; data extraction, cleansing, enrichment and visualization, one provides amusement park operators in China and Malaysia with the ability to manage and analyze tickets, visitors, merchandise sales and other amusement park operations, one provides software and services to mobile operators and enterprises that integrate into the ‘last mile’ of delivery over mobile networks, internet infrastructure or social media platforms, allowing enterprises to use mobile as a channel to create new revenue streams, as a CRM and customer engagement channel and to improve business efficiency, one develops, manufactures and distributes various satellite communications technologies under its own name and as an OEM for BSkyB, DISH and EchoStar, one is a technology and service provider to credit reporting agencies and channel partners, allowing them to help employers perform background checks on existing and prospective employees, and the company directly provides employers with an automated, web-based drug and alcohol testing and results review service and one is a SaaS supplier of ecommerce search, merchandising and recommendation technology that is overlaid on a retailer's ecommerce site, enhancing the customer's experience and the sales performance of the site
Consumer
Goods
(7)
One is a supplier of buttons, buckles, trimmings and accessories to the clothing and related industries, one is a consumer healthcare company that develops products for the aging population in the areas of food supplements to help lower LDL cholesterol and improve brain function and memory, dermo-cosmetics and cosmetics for skin ageing and hair loss and medical devices for improving conditions such as minor aches and pains, dry eyes and itchy skin, one is a designer, creator and provider of innovative formalwear tailoring for globally renowned department stores and premium private label brands, one is a designer, manufacturer and wholesaler of wooden doors, wall panels and assorted fixtures, such as fitted wardrobes, cupboards and skirting boards, and furniture in China and for export, one is the world's leading supplier of premium carbonated mixers for alcoholic spirits provided to hotels, restaurants, bars, cafes and select retail outlets, one owns, develops and operates cacao plantations and one is a global music and audio products company that supplies hardware and software to professional and amateur musicians for the production of high quality music
Basic
Materials
(5)
One has developed a proprietary scalable plasma process, embodied in its manufacturing machines and the processes performed in them, to functionalize graphenes and other nanomaterials which it intends to commercialize with raw material producers and industrial corporations for use in battery and energy storage, electronic devices, including bio-medical sensors, conductive inks and films and polymer composite fillers and resins since graphene, as a single carbon lattice layer, has outstanding thermal, mechanical and electrical properties, one is a Hong Kong-based trader in non-ferrous metals, principally aluminum and copper, that it imports from a variety of international sources and resells into China for processing into a 'clean' form for sale to foundries, one is a development-stage explorer and developer of industrial mineral projects, with a primary focus on borates and lithium, one is the largest producer of ammonium sulfite and the second largest producer of ammonium bisulfite in China where these chemicals are used in the sustainable manufacture of paper from waste materials such as straw and one is a manufacturer and distributor of stainless and carbon steel pipe connectors (press fittings) for use in industrial and residential piping systems where these thin-walled pipe connectors reduce installation time and cost compared to the more traditional methods of joining pipes, such as welding or the use of threaded connections
Oil & Gas /
Cleantech
(4)
One intends to discover, appraise and develop oil and gas resources in naturally fractured basement reservoirs across the U.K. Continental Shelf, one is a vertically-integrated turbine supplier and project owner in the Scottish tidal energy power industry, one is an oil exploration and development company focused on overlooked and emerging resource in New Zealand and Australia and one has entered into a production sharing contact with Niger to acquire a 100% working interest in a significant oil and gas exploration license which it plans to appraise and hopefully develop
Telecoms
(4)
One owns, builds and operates fiber optic infrastructure and is the largest independent provider of fiber infrastructure to mid-sized cities and major towns in the U.K., providing gigabit capable infrastructure for enterprise and public sector organizations, service providers, mobile network operators and businesses, one is the leading communication solutions’ provider on the Isle of Man, offering a wide range of fixed line, broadband, mobile, and datacenter services to businesses, consumers and the public sector, one provides communications services to the U.K. business market; including, cloud-based private branch exchange (PBX), inbound call control and session initiation protocol trunking for handling VoIP, which are all designed to meet the increasingly complex voice, data and mobility requirements of businesses and one is a cause-based, commercial, mobile virtual network operator (MVNO) marketed through a viral, online global community platform (i.e. a viral network) offering customers monthly and pay-as-you-go mobile contracts that allow them to direct 10% of their monthly bill to a cause of their choosing at no additional cost to them and the company contributes 25% of its profits to a foundation they set up as a registered U.K. charity
Utilities
(1)
This company is a renewable energy developer that owns and operates small-scale, clean wood, gasification plants (to generate electricity and heat) and develops and operates biomass boiler projects, fuelled by wood chips or pellets, to supply localized heating and hot water to schools, care homes, rural business parks, agricultural facilities and health spas

Wednesday, December 17, 2014

London's AIM - U.S. Company Performance - Share Price and Liquidity - H1 2014

The 52 U.S. companies listed on London's AIM stock exchange lost 17%, versus a loss of 8% for the FTSE AIM All-Share Index, during the first half of 2014, reinforcing the fact that AIM is a 'stock picker's market'.  The 42 AIM IPOs during the first half of 2014, however, achieved average and median share price gains of 8% and 5%, respectively, from the median IPO date of April 9, 2014.

Two of the U.S. companies that left AIM during the first half of 2014 did so in order to concentrate their public listings in the U.S.  They completed their initial IPOs on AIM during 2007 and 2006 and their U.S. IPOs on the NYSE MKT, the small cap tier of the NYSE Euronext, and NASDAQ during 2011 and 2013, respectively.  This is the natural evolution for U.S. companies that complete their initial IPOs on AIM; using it as a platform for raising capital, the achievement of commercial success and a dual listing on the U.S. public markets.

There was a significant increase in the weighted liquidity level on AIM during the first half of 2014 at 5.49% compared to 3.69% during 2013 for a number of reasons.  From August 2013, AIM shares can be held in U.K. Individual Savings Accounts (ISAs), the U.S. equivalent of IRAs, which provided a liquidity boost from retail investors into some of the larger, more well-known companies listed on AIM.  In addition, at the start of the new tax year in early April 2014, the annual ISA allowance was raised from £11,520 to £15,000.  Finally, the 0.5% stamp duty (tax) on the purchase of AIM shares was abolished at the end of April 2014.

AIM shares can be one of the most tax-advantaged investments; avoiding capital gains tax, income tax, inheritance tax and now stamp duty.  The benefits for companies considering an AIM IPO, and for those already listed on AIM, should be a further reduction in the cost-of-capital and an increase in aftermarket liquidity; both positively impacting valuations.


Highlights
  • U.S. domiciled companies register a weighted loss of 5%
  • Foreign domiciled U.S. operating companies register a weighted loss of 20%
  • FTSE AIM All-Share Index lost 8%
  • Significant liquidity difference between U.S. and foreign domiciled U.S. companies
There were 20 U.S. domiciled and 35 foreign domiciled U.S.operating companies listed on AIM at the beginning of 2014.  During the first half of 2014, four companies delisted and one joined by way of reverse takeover.  Of the four companies that left AIM; two completed their U.S. IPOs on the NYSE MKT, the small cap tier of the NYSE Euronext (the old NYSE AMEX), and NASDAQ in 2011 and 2013, respectively, and simply decided to concentrate their public listings in the U.S., one was a large oil and gas exploration and production company that was acquired at a 15% premium and the final one was an investment fund that wanted to issue a class of shares that weren’t eligible for AIM, therefore, they used the London Stock Exchange’s Specialist Fund Market (SFM) for that purpose and then migrated their AIM-listed shares to the SFM.

The four leavers during the first half of 2014 are not included in the chart and analysis below because they left during the early part of the half-year, however, the one joiner is included since that occurred in January.  The distribution of returns during the first half of 2014 was relatively normal, although, the slight negative bias is due to fact that the junior mining and oil and gas exploration and production companies were adversely impacted by global macroeconomic force, such as central bank policies and slowing growth in emerging markets.


The weighted returns in the table below were calculated using the average market capitalizations of the companies during the half-year, similar to how an index fund would calculate returns.

Index
Unweighted
Weighted
U.S. Domiciled Companies
  3%
  (5)%
Foreign Domiciled Companies
(12%)
(20)%
FTSE AIM All-Share Index
 N/A
  (8)%

The weighted return contributions for the U.S. domiciled companies were tightly packed at +/-2%, with two exceptions, one where a 3% weighted gain was achieved (absolute gain of 81%) and one where a weighted loss of 5% was recorded (absolute loss of 58%).  The company that gained 81% is a life sciences company focused on nature-derived insect and parasite control products that recently achieved significant commercial traction through multiple channels.  The company that lost 58% is an aquaculture biotech company that gained 168% during 2013 after receiving regulatory clearance for commercial production in Canada, however, continuing delays with the U.S. FDA caused a retracement in the share price to early 2013 levels.

The weighted return contributions for the foreign domiciled U.S. operating companies were also tightly packed at +/-1%, and also with two exceptions, where weighted losses of 12% and 6% were recorded (absolute losses of 69% and 14%).  The company that lost 69% fell victim to a blog posted by a consultant who was paid by unnamed parties in which the company’s business model and practices were questioned.  The company strongly refuted the assertions made, completed a thorough internal and external review and published a detailed response.  During 2013, this company gained 215% after integrating several acquisitions and achieving exceptional financial results, all of which was wiped out, likely temporarily, by an apparently malicious act.  The company that lost 14% is an oil and gas exploration and production company that continued to encounter some unforeseen operational difficulties after losing 12% during 2013.

In terms of average monthly liquidity (see the table below), the foreign domiciled U.S. operating companies outperformed the U.S. domiciled companies and AIM as a whole on both measures.  One would expect all of the weighted results to exceed all of the unweighted results, reflecting the positive relationship between a company’s liquidity and its market capitalization.  The unweighted results represent the level of monthly liquidity that the average company can expect to achieve.

Since the reversal of this relationship was small for the U.S. domiciled companies, a firm conclusion cannot be drawn, however, since relative trading volumes were significantly larger for the larger foreign domiciled U.S. operating companies, it appears as if investors exited the larger companies because they were no longer comfortable with the risk/reward relationship, which is evidenced by the underperformance of the weighted share price return compared to the unweighted share price return.

Average Monthly Liquidity
Foreign Domiciled
U.S. Operating Companies
U.S. Domiciled Companies
Entire
AIM Market
Weighted
7.36%
1.17%
5.49%
Unweighted
5.60%
1.65%
3.50%

The chart below provides the monthly detail of the unweighted liquidity for each of the three categories in the table on the previous page.  While the unweighted liquidity levels have been stable, there has been a significant increase in the weighted liquidity level on London's AIM as a whole during the first half of 2014 at 5.49% compared to 2013 at 3.69% for the reasons outlined below.

From August 5, 2013, AIM shares can be held in U.K. Individual Savings Accounts (ISAs), the U.S. equivalent of IRAs, which provided a liquidity boost from retail investors into some of the larger, more well-known companies listed on AIM.  In addition, at the start of the new tax year on April 6, 2014, the annual ISA allowance was raised from £11,520 to £15,000.  Finally, the 0.5% stamp duty (tax) on the purchase of AIM shares was abolished from April 28, 2014.

AIM shares can be one of the most tax-advantaged investment; avoiding capital gains tax, income tax, inheritance tax and now stamp duty.  The benefit for companies considering an AIM IPO, and for those already listed on AIM, should be a further reduction in the cost-of-capital and an increase in aftermarket liquidity; both positively impacting valuations.


From a U.S. perspective, the key takeaway from the chart above is that there is a liquidity advantage for U.S. companies that list on AIM via a U.K. holding company.  The four main reasons being:

  1. Once the Reg. S period expires, the IPO shares can trade directly within CREST
  2. Pre-IPO shares not subject to Reg. S can immediately trade directly within CREST
  3. Articles of incorporation fully conform to U.K. law, providing comfort to U.K. investors
  4. Institutional investors only allocate a portion of their investments to non-U.K. companies
Nevertheless, irrespective of where a company is domiciled, liquidity can be improved.  The reasons for a lack of liquidity are often company specific and not obvious.  As a consequence, thoughtful and thorough investigation is needed in order to formulate actionable solutions.  Several strategic decisions can be taken during the planning of the AIM IPO to minimize the risk of lack of liquidity becoming a problem in the first instance; including, selection of the most appropriate Nomad, Broker(s), Financial PR/IR firm and Independent Equity Research firm.

Tuesday, December 2, 2014

London's AIM - Book- The Future Is Small - Why AIM Will be the World's Best Market Beyond the Credit Boom

Harriman House recently published a book written by Gervais Williams, a UK fund manager, that explains, amongst other things, why London's AIM will be the world's best stock exchange and a place of extraordinary vitality in the coming years.

The Future is Small - Why AIM Will be the World's Best Market Beyond the Credit Boom

Select quotes from the book include the following:

"The bottom-line is that AIM now stands among the most well-established and vibrant markets for small and micro-cap quoted stocks in the world.  Its breadth and depth are remarkable."

"The London AIM stock exchange is distinctive from other markets around the world because it has such a wide range of regular quoted businesses, and it has potential to list a whole lot more."

"There will never have been a better time to be a regular company with sustained turnover, profits and cash flow along with a listing.  Indeed, all the evidence points to this being the start of a super-cycle for returns in the genuinely small - as last experienced between the mid-1950s and the mid-1980s."

"So the AIM exchange stands as something of a beacon; an exchange that is dominated by smallness at a time when market trends are changing."

"We are exceptionally fortunate that the long history of support for the smallest quoted stocks in the UK has resulted in AIM surviving when most others have foundered.  When it comes to allocating capital to smallness, our public markets have had a culture of supporting companies that are rather smaller than elsewhere.  Raising say, £10m via public markets would be difficult or indeed impossible in many other countries around the globe, but not in the UK."

"If the future is indeed small, London's AIM appears unusually well-positioned to participate in the new trends.  All the evidence points to this being the start of a new super-cycle in small-cap returns."

At 113 pages, The Future is Small may be a good stocking stuffer for avid investors and visionary entrepreneurs.

The Future is Small by Gervais Williams - Harriman House

Happy Holidays,

Mark McGowan
Managing Director
AIM Advisers, Inc.
1223 Wilshire Blvd., Suite 1855
Santa Monica, California 90403
(310) 903-0322
www.aimadvisers.com