Saturday, April 4, 2009

London's AIM - U.S. Company IPO and Secondary Offering Activity - 2008

Highlights
  • Number of listings on the London Stock Exchange's AIM and aggregate funds raised on London's AIM drop by 82% and 81%, respectively
  • Average funds raised for ‘operating companies’ listed on London's AIM increases from £23m to £31m
  • £780m raised from London Stock Exchange AIM IPOs for 26 U.S. companies listed on London's AIM across 16 industries since 2007
  • U.S. ‘operating companies’ listing on London's AIM account for 17% of all operating company London AIM IPOs since 2007
  • U.S. ‘operating companies’ listing on London's AIM account for 22% of funds raised on London's AIM since 2007
  • IPO dilution on the London Stock Exchange's AIM increases slightly from 31% to 33%
  • Secondary offerings on London's AIM hold firm for U.S. companies listed on London's AIM with an average of £7m
  • £500m raised from secondary offerings on London's AIM for 36 U.S. companies listed on London's AIM since 2007
  • 50% of all U.S. companies listed on London's AIM have completed at least one secondary offering on London's AIM since 2007
  • Selling shareholder activity on London's AIM continues at historic levels
  • U.S. accredited investor and Qualified Institutional Buyer participation on the London Stock Exchange's AIM moderates

London AIM IPOs
While London's AIM has certainly not been immune to the global slowdown in IPOs, the codification of the London AIM Nominated Advisers (Nomads) Rules in early 2007 has increased the scrutiny of prospective new entrants by Nominated Advisers (Nomads) since the Nominated Adviser (Nomad) vouches to the London Stock Exchange (LSE) as to a company’s suitability for listing on London's AIM.  In addition, the trend which began in 2006, and continued throughout 2007 on the London Stock Exchange's AIM, of a significant number of Special Purpose Acquisition Corporations (SPACs) and Investment and Real Estate Funds listing on London's AIM, has largely come to an end.  These factors cause the overall London AIM metrics to be misleading; therefore, the following tables distinguish between London AIM as a whole, which includes ‘investment vehicles’, and the ‘operating companies’ listed on the London Stock Exchange's AIM on a stand-alone basis.

London's AIM had a higher proportion of ‘investment vehicle’ IPOs in 2007 than in 2008 at 39% and 29%, respectively.  While the number of listings on the London Stock Exchange's AIM decreased substantially during 2008, the average funds raised for ‘operating companies’ listed on London's AIM increased slightly to £19 million.


Entire Market
     All Companies
Number of London AIM IPOs

Gross Funds Raised
(in £ billions)

Average Funds Raised
(in £ millions)
          2007
182
6.26
34
          2008
38
0.92
24

Exclusive of SPACs and Investment and Real Estate Funds:


Entire Market
     ‘Operating Companies’
Number of London AIM IPOs

Gross Funds Raised
(in £ billions)

Average Funds Raised
(in £ millions)
          2007
111
1.99
18
          2008
27
0.52
19

The U.S. companies listed on the London Stock Exchange's AIM were relatively immune from the ‘investment vehicle’ phenomenon on London's AIM with only three London AIM listings in 2007 and none in 2008.  While the limited number of U.S. company listings on London's AIM in each year makes it difficult to draw firm conclusions, it is believed that an upward trend will persist from the £24 million average raised on London's AIM by the 50 U.S. ‘operating companies’ listed on London's AIM that completed IPOs on London's AIM from 2005 – 2007.  London Stock Exchange AIM investors continue to seek larger, more mature companies.


U.S. Companies
     All Companies
Number of London AIM IPOs

Gross Funds Raised
(in £ millions)

Average Funds Raised
(in £ millions)
          2007
22
657
30
          2008
4
123
31


U.S. Companies
     ‘Operating Companies’
Number of London AIM IPOs

Gross Funds Raised
(in £ millions)

Average Funds Raised
(in £ millions)
          2007
19
431
23
          2008
4
123
31

Since 2007, 26 U.S. companies listed on London's AIM and raised an aggregate of £780 million via London AIM IPOs with 65% of these U.S. companies now listed on London's AIM raising between £5 million and £50 million on London's AIM.  It should be noted that of the London Stock Exchange AIM IPOs that individually raised more than £50 million, almost half (3 of 7) were for ‘investment vehicles’.
 

London AIM Dilution
As noted in the opening paragraph, London Stock Exchange AIM IPO conditions have been challenging and, separately, Nominated Advisers (Nomads) have increased their scrutiny of prospective AIM IPO listing candidates.  The natural consequence of these two factors is that the quality of the companies listing on London's AIM has increased and, as a result, the London AIM IPO dilution of existing shareholders has decreased.  Since the decrease in dilution for the overall London AIM market has been significant and the dilution for the U.S. companies listed on London's AIM has been relatively steady, it may be that the U.S. companies listed on the London Stock Exchange's AIM have, on average, typically been of higher quality with more compelling business propositions and stronger management teams, however, the limited number of London AIM IPOs during 2008 makes it difficult to draw firm conclusions.
 

London AIM Industry Dispersion
The 16 industries in which the 26 U.S. companies listed on the London Stock Exchange's AIM operate are quite diverse; however, there is a concentration of oil and gas producers listed on London's AIM in Texas and concentrations in technology, including; digital media, biotech and cleantech, between Boston and Washington D.C., in Florida and in California.  In fact, the “Automobiles & Parts” company listed on London's AIM in the chart below is a zero emissions vehicle manufacturer, the “Chemicals” company listed on the London Stock Exchange's AIM is developing compounds for the health and growth of plants and agricultural and the “Aerospace & Defense” company listed on London's AIM is a developer and manufacturer of composite armor products for commercial and military uses.
 

London's AIM Secondary Offerings
The secondary offering market for U.S. companies listed on the London Stock Exchange's AIM has been healthy and remarkably consistent; however, there were some large transactions that slightly skew the results.  The first is a £50 million NASDAQ listing during 2007 of a U.S. company that completed a £25 million listing on London's AIM in 2003.  This is considered a secondary offering on London's AIM.  The second is a U.S. company listed on the London Stock Exchange's AIM which raised £101 million in two secondary offerings on London's AIM during 2008.  When these are excluded from the table below, the average for 2007 and 2008 is £7.50 million and £6.40 million, respectively.  50% of all U.S. companies listed on London's AIM have completed at least one secondary offering on London's AIM since 2007.



All U.S. Companies
Number of
London AIM
Secondary Offerings

Gross Funds Raised
(in £ millions)

Average Funds Raised
(in £ millions)
2007
29
260
8.97
2008
27
236
8.74

London AIM Selling Shareholder Activity
The ability of existing shareholders to sell some or all of their holdings in a London Stock Exchange AIM IPO depends on a variety of factors; the most important of which are the strength of the company and the level of investor support.  Historically, from 2005 – 2007, 22% of U.S. company IPOs on London's AIM included selling shareholders who were often either founders of the company, longstanding members of executive management or the board or directors, commercial partners who had made a strategic investment in the company or VCs/PE Firms who invested in and nurtured the company for several years prior to its London Stock Exchange AIM IPO.  There were three such transactions during 2007 and two during 2008 which is consistent with historic levels.  In one of the 2008 transactions, the Chairman and President, who had been with the company since 1969, sold 30% of his stake for £26 million.

While selling shareholders are most common in conjunction with a London Stock Exchange AIM IPO, U.S. company insiders have sold in the aftermarket on London's AIM in organized transactions on three occasions since 2004; twice as part of secondary offerings on London's AIM and once on a standalone basis.  In all three instances, the companies listed on London's AIM were performing exceptionally well with the organized insider selling driven by a need to “satisfy excess demand” for the company’s AIM-listed shares.  One such transaction occurred during 2007 in which executive management and certain non executive directors and employees realized £9 million for themselves as part of a £17 million secondary offering on the London Stock Exchange's AIM.  There were no such transactions during 2008.

U.S. London AIM Accredited Investor and Qualified Institutional Buyer (QIB) Activity
U.S. accredited investors and QIBs are permitted to participate in London Stock Exchange AIM IPOs and secondary offerings on London's AIM.  Historically, from 2005 – 2007, they have provided 20% of the funding for U.S. company listings on London's AIM and 20% of the secondary offering funds raised on London's AIM for those companies.  During 2007, four U.S. companies listed on London's AIM raising an aggregate of £151 million with £89 million coming from U.S. accredited investors and QIBs.  There were no such transactions during 2008.  In terms of secondary offerings on London's AIM, 39% of the funds raised for U.S. companies on the London Stock Exchange's AIM were provided by U.S. accredited investors and QIBs during 2007; however, this is skewed by the £50 million NASDAQ listing discussed above and would have otherwise been 25%.  During 2008, U.S. accredited investors and QIBs participated in 19% (5 of 27) of the secondary offerings on London's AIM, contributing 40% of the total funds raised on London's, however, this too is skewed by £76 million of the £101 million discussed above and would have otherwise been only 11%.

Saturday, February 14, 2009

London's AIM - Secondary Offering Activity - 2008

Highlights
  • Number of secondary offerings on the London Stock Exchange's AIM and aggregate funds raised on London's AIM drop by 39% and 68%, respectively
  • £3.1b raised in secondary offerings on London's AIM during 2008….240% more than raised in IPOs on London's AIM
  • 36% of London AIM-listed companies completed secondary offerings on London's AIM during 2008
  • Average size of secondary offerings on the London Stock Exchange's AIM shrinks by 50% to £5m as London's AIM remains cautious
  • 2008 number, average size and distribution of secondary offerings on London's AIM reminiscent of 2005
  • London's AIM seen as shifting back to its original purpose of funding growth-oriented SMEs
  • Access, or lack of access, to funds on the London Stock Exchange's AIM separate strong from weak and cleanses London's AIM
  • Outlook:  H1 2009, very slow; H2 2009 modest recovery on London's driven by the strong companies

The success of the secondary offering market on London's AIM is indisputable; however, that success should not be viewed in isolation, but rather through the lens of the broader market for London Stock Exchange AIM IPOs.  The trend which began in 2006, and continued throughout 2007, of a significant number of Special Purpose Acquisition Corporations (SPACs) and Investment and Real Estate Funds completing IPOs on the London Stock Exchange's AIM has largely come to an end.  The effect on the London AIM IPO market was dramatic but the effect on the secondary offering market on London's AIM was more modest.

‘Operating companies’ listed on the London Stock Exchange's AIM captured 57% of the London AIM IPO funds raised during 2008 but only 32% during 2007.  The comparable metrics for the secondary offering market on London's AIM were 81% during 2008 and 68% during 2007.



All Companies
London AIM
IPO Funds Raised
(in £ billions)
London AIM
Secondary Offering Funds Raised
(in £ billions)
2007
6.26
9.71
2008
0.92
3.13

Exclusive of SPACs and Investment and Real Estate Funds:



‘Operating Companies’
London AIM
IPO Funds Raised
(in £ billions)
London AIM
Secondary Offering Funds Raised
(in £ billions)
2007
1.99
6.59
2008
0.52
2.54

The average size of secondary offerings shrunk by 50% as the market remains cautious.


All Companies
Number of
Secondary Offerings
Gross Funds Raised
(in £ billions)
Average Funds Raised
(in £ millions)
2007
949
9.71
10.23
2008
578
3.13
5.41

During 2008, 80% of all secondary offerings on London's AIM were for less than £5 million whereas 80% of all secondary offerings on the London Stock Exchange's AIM in 2007 were for less than £10 million, reflecting a cautious London's AIM.  Interestingly, the number, average size and distribution of secondary offerings on the London Stock Exchange's AIM during 2008 is reminiscent of 2005, supporting the view that London's AIM is shifting back to its original purpose of funding growth-oriented SMEs.
 

The relative number of companies listed on London's AIM that were able to complete secondary offerings on London's AIM during 2008 remains healthy at 36%; however, this does represent a decrease from 57% in 2007. 
   
The London AIM outlook for 2009 is for secondary offering activity on the London Stock Exchange's AIM during H1 to be very slow with a modest recovery during H2.  It is believed that London's AIM will shift strongly back to its original purpose of funding growth-oriented SMEs and that access, or lack of access, to secondary offering funds on London's AIM during 2009 will separate the strong companies from the weak companies listed on the London Stock Exchange's AIM and ultimately cleanse London's AIM.

Saturday, February 7, 2009

London's AIM - IPO Activity - 2008

Highlights
  • Number of London AIM IPOs and aggregate funds raised on London's AIM drop by 79% and 85%, respectively
  • Decreases for ‘operating companies’ listing on London's AIM slightly less at 76% and 74%, respectively
  • Average funds raised for ‘operating companies’ listing on London's AIM increases slightly to £19m
  • 75% of London Stock Exchange AIM IPOs in both years raise between £3m and £100m
  • First time since 2005 that majority of funds raised on London's AIM (57%) was for ‘operating companies’
  • Substantial decrease in London Stock Exchange AIM IPO dilution of existing shareholders of ‘operating companies’ listing on London's AIM
2007 – 34%                             2008 – 25% 
  • Very selective market with funds available for high quality companies at less dilution
  • London's AIM seen as shifting back to its original purpose of funding growth-oriented SMEs
  • Outlook:  H1 2009 London AIM IPOs, very slow; H2 2009 London AIM IPOs, tepid recovery with a strong flight to quality

The trend which began in 2006 on the London Stock Exchange's AIM, and continued throughout 2007, of a significant number of Special Purpose Acquisition Corporations (SPACs) and Investment and Real Estate Funds listing on London's AIM, has largely come to an end.  During 2008, only 10 Investment Funds and one Real Estate Fund listed on London's AIM with no SPAC IPOs.  These ‘investment vehicles’ cause the overall London AIM metrics to be misleading.

The key takeaway from comparing the tables below is that only 61% of the London Stock Exchange AIM IPOs during 2007 were for ‘operating companies’ listing on London's AIM and those companies only captured 32% of the gross funds raised on the London Stock Exchange's AIM.  During 2008, 71% of the listings on the London Stock Exchange's AIM were for ‘operating companies’ and, for the first time since 2005, they captured a majority (57%) of the gross funds raised on London's AIM.


All Companies
Number of
London AIM IPOs
Gross Funds Raised
(in £ billions)
Average Funds Raised
(in £ millions)
2007
182
6.26
34
2008
38
0.92
24

Exclusive of SPACs and Investment and Real Estate Funds:


‘Operating Companies’
Number of
London AIM IPOs
Gross Funds Raised
(in £ billions)
Average Funds Raised
(in £ millions)
2007
111
1.99
18
2008
27
0.52
19

Notwithstanding the bifurcation of the London AIM IPO market between ‘investment vehicles’ and ‘operating companies’, 75% of the listings on the London Stock Exchange's AIM in each year raised between £3 and £100 million.


While London's AIM has certainly not been immune to the global slowdown in IPOs, the codification of the AIM Rules for Nominated Advisers (Nomads) in early 2007 has increased the scrutiny of prospective companies listing on London's AIM by Nominated Advisers (Nomads) since the Nominated Adviser (Nomad) vouches to the London Stock Exchange (LSE) as to a company’s suitability for listing on London's AIM.  Consequently, the quality of the companies listing on the London Stock Exchange's AIM has increased and, as a result, the IPO dilution of existing shareholders has decreased. 
 

The outlook for 2009 is for London AIM IPO activity during H1 to be very slow with a tepid recovery during H2.  It is believed that London's AIM will shift strongly back to its original purpose of funding growth-oriented SMEs listing on the London Stock Exchange's AIM and that there will be an extreme flight to quality with London AIM IPO fundraisings for more mature ‘operating companies’ pushing up above £20 million.